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India’s water aggression

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The recent incident of India releasing water into the Sutlej river without prior notification to Pakistan has ignited concerns over the delicate water-sharing relationship between the two countries. This move, perceived by Pakistan as an act of aggression, highlights the pressing need for open communication and cooperative management of shared water resources.

The National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA), the agency responsible for combating natural disasters, has issued an alert stating that India has released 150,000 cubic feet of water into Sutlej River and the authorities started evacuation in Punjab.

In a statement issued by the NDMA, it was reported that approximately 70,000 cubic feet is expected to reach within the next 20 to 24 hours, resulting in a high intensity of flooding at the Kasur district.

As per the directive of the NDMA, the relevant authorities have initiated monitoring at sensitive areas, particularly at the Kasur district which borders India and Ganda Singh.

According to records from the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA), last year India had also released 173,000 cubic feet of water in the River Ravi approximately three-fourths of which reached the areas near the bridge, causing the formation of a lower flood level.

The Indus Waters Treaty of 1960, brokered by the World Bank, established a framework for water sharing between India and Pakistan. The treaty, while not without its flaws, has helped maintain a degree of stability in a region that faces acute water scarcity. However, incidents like this one threaten to erode the trust that underpins this agreement.

Unilateral actions such as releasing water without informing downstream neighbours can have severe repercussions. Apart from raising diplomatic tensions, it can disrupt agricultural activities, impact water supply for communities, and even pose environmental risks. Such actions can undermine the spirit of cooperation that should guide relations between these two nuclear-armed nations.

To prevent further escalation and foster sustainable water management, both India and Pakistan must prioritize dialogue and transparency. Swift diplomatic channels should be employed to address concerns, clarify intentions, and ensure that such incidents are avoided in the future. Cooperative mechanisms, such as joint committees or early notification protocols, can be explored to enhance communication and build mutual trust.

It’s also crucial for the international community to encourage both countries to adhere to established agreements and principles. The World Bank, as the guarantor of the Indus Waters Treaty, could play a facilitating role in facilitating discussions and resolving disputes.

Water scarcity is a shared challenge that demands cooperation and responsible management. Unilateral actions, like the recent water release, risk exacerbating tensions between India and Pakistan. Diplomacy, communication, and adherence to existing agreements are essential to prevent further escalation and ensure a stable and sustainable water-sharing future for both nations.

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